Head of Macquarie Business Banking, Dean Firth, shares his thoughts on where the opportunities lie for leaders in strata businesses looking to thrive into the future.
The rational optimist
There are so many reasons to feel optimistic about the strata industry right now, and into the future. For a range of economic and demographic reasons, tailwinds are at your back.
The strength of the macro environment for strata businesses is more than an opportunity to grow revenue. It’s a leadership opportunity to charter a new course, while the industry is at an inflection point. Our data shows average profit margins are in decline and costs are outpacing gains. It’s the right time to face into the changes that can help you build on your success story.
I think that journey begins by articulating your narrative and your vision for the future, to energise your staff about the road ahead. They should know that in a time of significant disruption, they’re part of an industry with strong fundamentals, and working in a business with leaders who are ready and willing to adapt, evolve and seize opportunity.
As a leader in strata, you have a host of proof points to inspire confidence in your industry. Firstly, the strata industry is part of one of the biggest markets in Australia – the residential real estate market, which is valued at over $11 trillion1. To put its national significance into context, that’s almost three times the size of the superannuation savings pool2.
Within that market, strata schemes have an estimated worth of $1.3 trillion3, with every indication that this value will continue to rise. Why? To put it simply: demand. Higher-density living is a core component of Australia’s housing mix, as our increasingly urban population continues to grow. It’s reasonable to expect that strata schemes will play a significant part in housing that population. There is precedent to back this – Census data shows that, since the mid-1990s, there has been a 78% increase in the number of people living in apartments4.
The population growth underpinning demand is strong, especially when you consider it in relative terms. The Australian population is projected to increase by four million in the next decade5. In fact, demographer Bernard Salt projects that Australia will be one of the few developed nations still growing at the end of the 21st century.
Let’s reflect on that: while parts of the OECD face declining and ageing populations, Australia remains on a growth trajectory. As it stands, 14 OECD countries are expected to lose population by 2040 and for some, the longer-term outlook is even tougher6. For example, by current measures, Japan’s population is projected to fall 45% by 21007.
In response to immediate-term shortages and longer-term growth, there is also policy intent from the federal and state governments to build new and well-located homes over the next five years. This is supported by a blueprint which calls for expedited zoning and promoting both medium- and high-density housing with proximity to infrastructure and employment opportunities8.
One of many recent examples at the state level includes a move to bolster apartment and town house construction in Victoria, Australia’s fastest growing state9. Effective immediately until October next year, the Victorian government is allowing anyone buying an apartment or town house off the plan to claim a stamp duty concession formerly restricted to first home buyers and owner occupiers. The concession deducts construction costs from the sale price when calculating stamp duty10.
This is just a snapshot of the factors working in the strata industry’s favour. Combined, they present a strong case for being rationally optimistic about the future. With so many reasons to be confident about the road ahead, pause and question, is that front and centre in the vision articulated to staff?
Finding and keeping talent is a key business challenge, with our benchmarking data showing 66% of businesses struggle with attraction and retention. Some push factors might relate to the challenges of the work – the administration, the communication, the complexity of regulation.
The burden of those tasks can be reduced and revolutionised by the technology available today, let alone what’s in pipeline. Automation of repeatable tasks, digitisation of administrative work and the self-serve capability of artificial intelligence are just some of the transformative opportunities for business.
We believe technology is a powerful answer to meeting the broader challenges in the market right now, leaving businesses with an even stronger story to tell.